ABOUT
See the supply chain dependencies the market hasn’t priced in yet.
Mission
theta.md is a buy-side research platform purpose-built for professional investors. We map the hidden wiring of the global supply chain — across 11 GICS sectors from semiconductors to consumer staples — and translate that topology into actionable investment intelligence.
Approach
Traditional equity research treats the market as a flat list of tickers. We start from the graph — a directed network of 578 companies and 8,000+ supply chain dependencies, each edge verified against 10-K disclosures. This structure reveals propagation patterns invisible to consensus: how a yield issue at one node cascades through equipment spend, how pricing signals upstream preview earnings downstream, how a single chokepoint concentrates risk across seemingly diversified portfolios.
ARCHITECTURE
Knowledge Engine
A portfolio manager does not need more transcripts. A portfolio manager needs a system that converts primary disclosures into investable structure. The first layer is a Knowledge Engine: LLMs extract supply chain facts, management signals, and relationship changes from filings and earnings calls, while a consensus process admits only information that independently verifies against the same source. Agents then keep that knowledge current through daily monitoring, so the map does not decay between quarters.
Signal Engine
The second layer is a Signal Engine. Once the knowledge is structured as a living company graph, models search for patterns that matter to positioning: where pressure is building, where demand is propagating, and which changes are likely to transmit across names before they show up in consensus revisions. Supervised learning calibrates signal relevance against historical outcomes; reinforcement learning optimizes the ranking policy so that top-of-feed signals consistently map to actionable PM decisions. Signals are continuously scored, decayed, and re-ranked — the system learns what matters, not just what changed.
LLMs build the knowledge. Models find the signals. Agents keep it alive.
COVERAGE
RESEARCH OUTCOMES
Source-Grounded Knowledge
Every financial data point is cross-verified against SEC filings. Supply chain relationships are extracted from 10-K disclosures and validated through multi-model consensus. Nothing enters the graph without independent verification.
Propagation-Aware Signal Detection
The system identifies patterns that matter to positioning — where upstream pressure is building, which changes transmit across names, and how long it takes for information to move through the chain before consensus catches up.
Continuously Maintained Signal Set
Signals that lose predictive power are automatically decayed and removed. New candidate signals are extracted, backtested, and promoted into the active pool. The system improves with each cycle, not just each quarter.
AUDIENCE
Built for PM-Style Decision-Making
- •Serious individual investors seeking institutional-grade supply chain intelligence without terminal cost.
- •Independent portfolio managers and advisors who need a differentiated structural edge.
- •Anyone navigating global market cycles with conviction.
Contact
Research collaboration, institutional inquiries, or platform access.